Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.0%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Stamkos 55.2% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 61.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 79.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Miller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Miller
Stamkos
Last 6: Miller 6-0 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
0
Miller
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
55.9% (499)
+0.4%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
56.3% (126)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
58.3% (12)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Miller
Stamkos
Home
58.6% (734)
55.3% (349)
Away
54.1% (727)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Miller
Stamkos
P1
57.1%
57.0%
P2
57.0%
59.2%
P3
54.7%
51.5%
OT
62.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 11:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |