Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 59.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.6% vs Thompson 45.3% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 87.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 86.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 86.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Miller
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (540)
44.9% (642)
+16.6%
Power Play
65.6% (122)
47.9% (94)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
47.7% (65)
33.3% (33)
+14.4%
On power play, Miller has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
62.1% (372)
46.0% (391)
Away
59.7% (355)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
58.9%
48.1%
P2
63.9%
44.9%
P3
59.8%
41.2%
OT
60.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
63.6%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
60.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |