Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Miller wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 59.7% vs Thompson 46.5% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 87.8%
Defensive zone
Miller 86.7%
Neutral zone
Miller 84.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Miller
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
2
Miller
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
61.9% (459)
46.1% (484)
+15.8%
Power Play
66.0% (103)
48.4% (91)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
30.0% (20)
+16.2%
On power play, Miller has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
62.5% (280)
47.9% (313)
Away
60.2% (334)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
59.2%
50.5%
P2
65.6%
44.6%
P3
59.1%
42.3%
OT
54.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
61.2%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |