Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Thompson 42.8% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 69.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 64.3%
Neutral zone
Miller 61.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
17
(35 meetings)
18
17
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 7-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Miller
Thompson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
8
5
Miller
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
5
Miller
Thompson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
42.9% (3,521)
+12.3%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
46.8% (372)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
33.6% (265)
+14.6%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
55.9% (4,578)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
54.7%
44.5%
P2
55.6%
43.6%
P3
54.0%
40.2%
OT
62.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 13:44 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:36 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 14:54 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |