Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 54.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 60.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Miller
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
41.9% (597)
+16.3%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
50.5% (95)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
25.0% (12)
+33.9%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
59.1% (558)
47.1% (367)
Away
57.3% (520)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
60.7%
44.2%
P2
57.5%
41.6%
P3
56.1%
42.9%
OT
73.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |