Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Miller wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Thompson 41.2% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 79.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 78.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 81.4%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Miller
Thompson
Last 10: Miller 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
5
Miller
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (933)
40.6% (801)
+14.9%
Power Play
61.6% (73)
44.7% (103)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (227)
31.0% (71)
+14.8%
On power play, Miller has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
53.5% (578)
43.2% (507)
Away
54.7% (655)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
58.3%
37.7%
P2
53.5%
43.4%
P3
50.1%
39.5%
OT
70.6%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |