Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 61.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 55.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 92.3%
Defensive zone
Miller 88.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 88.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Miller
Thompson
Last 5: Miller 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
0
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,033)
44.6% (709)
+11.7%
Power Play
62.5% (253)
41.5% (53)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (175)
35.1% (97)
+12.3%
On power play, Miller has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 61.4% vs right-shot opponents (458).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
58.6% (734)
45.5% (426)
Away
54.1% (727)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
57.1%
48.5%
P2
57.0%
43.8%
P3
54.7%
38.1%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
56.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:41 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |