Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.5% vs Thompson 43.8% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 50.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 63.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Miller
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (589)
43.3% (735)
+12.4%
Power Play
60.9% (138)
50.0% (26)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (159)
36.5% (52)
+10.7%
On even strength, Miller has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Miller is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
56.1% (440)
44.5% (407)
Away
53.8% (446)
41.6% (406)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
52.3%
44.4%
P2
54.7%
44.8%
P3
57.2%
40.2%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
55.0%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |