Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Miller wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Hertl 55.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 54.2%
Defensive zone
Miller 81.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 59.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Miller
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Miller
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
54.1% (717)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
61.9% (210)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
58.1% (31)
+0.8%
On even strength, Miller has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Miller is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (754).
Miller shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Miller
Hertl
Home
59.1% (558)
58.1% (492)
Away
57.3% (520)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Miller
Hertl
P1
60.7%
57.1%
P2
57.5%
54.0%
P3
56.1%
56.6%
OT
73.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
60.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |