Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 51.8% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Drury 74.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 82.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Drury
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (114)
49.2% (307)
+5.2%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
66.7% (6)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
48.2% (56)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
50.0% (68)
50.3% (175)
Away
56.9% (58)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
39.5%
41.0%
P2
57.1%
51.2%
P3
60.4%
55.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%