Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Carrick 53.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 61.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 87.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 64.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Drury
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Drury
Carrick
Last 5: Drury 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Drury
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
53.9% (521)
+0.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
57.1% (35)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
51.5% (229)
+19.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
56.7% (358)
52.7% (408)
Away
53.6% (306)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
57.3%
51.4%
P2
57.6%
56.6%
P3
51.1%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |