Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Carrick 52.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 69.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 62.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Drury
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Drury
Carrick
Last 9: Drury 4-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Drury
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Drury
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
52.1% (2,513)
+5.9%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
61.3% (75)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
50.7% (430)
+1.4%
On even strength, Drury has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
58.3% (1,212)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
56.0%
51.8%
P2
58.6%
52.2%
P3
57.0%
52.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |