Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Carrick 53.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 77.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 60.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 77.5%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Drury
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Drury
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
55.1% (439)
+6.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
66.7% (3)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
49.1% (53)
-0.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
59.2% (407)
58.2% (225)
Away
58.1% (427)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
59.0%
56.7%
P2
57.7%
52.8%
P3
59.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jack Drury |