Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Carrick 53.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 67.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.6%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Drury
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
53.8% (654)
+4.1%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
0.0% (2)
+67.4%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
63.9% (36)
-11.1%
On power play, Drury has a +67.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Drury is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Drury shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Drury
Carrick
Home
59.3% (364)
50.0% (328)
Away
56.3% (382)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Drury
Carrick
P1
53.9%
56.7%
P2
60.5%
51.1%
P3
58.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |