Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 50.6% vs Eichel 48.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 64.5%
Defensive zone
Nelson 80.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 73.0%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Nelson
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Nelson
Eichel
Last 5: Nelson 4-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
1
Nelson
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
0
Nelson
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (879)
47.7% (858)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.6% (162)
55.6% (63)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (198)
44.8% (87)
-1.4%
On even strength, Nelson has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Nelson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Nelson shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Nelson
Eichel
Home
52.3% (621)
47.7% (509)
Away
48.9% (618)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Nelson
Eichel
P1
48.4%
49.5%
P2
53.5%
48.5%
P3
50.3%
46.8%
OT
41.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:16 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |