Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.2% vs MacKinnon 44.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 64.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 64.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 8: Eichel 2-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Eichel
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Eichel
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Eichel
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,023)
42.8% (1,039)
+2.8%
Power Play
55.8% (197)
50.8% (118)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (50)
46.2% (26)
-4.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
45.4% (604)
48.0% (586)
Away
48.5% (666)
39.5% (597)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
48.3%
46.1%
P2
49.6%
41.5%
P3
43.8%
43.8%
OT
45.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |