Jack Eichel vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 39-34 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 52.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
39
(73 meetings)
34
39
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Eichel
MacKinnon
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
12
Eichel
MacKinnon
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
19
17
Eichel
MacKinnon
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
46.1% (11,218)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
53.3% (1,412)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
42.8% (502)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
45.7% (4,899)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
45.4%
47.4%
P2
45.8%
46.6%
P3
44.2%
46.1%
OT
44.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 03:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |