Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 51.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
3
Eichel
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
49.2% (1,266)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
54.9% (193)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
49.1% (55)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (414).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
46.5% (606)
50.9% (740)
Away
44.8% (648)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
47.2%
50.9%
P2
46.9%
51.8%
P3
42.7%
47.1%
OT
42.9%
58.8%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | OT | 03:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |