Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 46.2%). Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 53.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 8: Eichel 4-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Eichel
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
45.5% (1,190)
+0.9%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
56.4% (94)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
40.0% (30)
+2.2%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
44.0% (457)
47.8% (670)
Away
47.0% (451)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
45.1%
45.3%
P2
46.5%
48.5%
P3
45.3%
45.0%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 14:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 10:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |