Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 54.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 66.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 54.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eichel
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
50.0% (992)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
64.9% (148)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
34.4% (32)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
47.7% (509)
53.3% (591)
Away
48.1% (499)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
49.5%
49.9%
P2
48.5%
53.2%
P3
46.8%
50.8%
OT
37.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |