Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 44.4%). Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 51.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 57.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Eichel
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eichel
MacKinnon
Last 7: Eichel 4-3 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
MacKinnon
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
Eichel
MacKinnon
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
44.7% (1,053)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
36.8% (95)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
65.0% (20)
-36.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Eichel is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Eichel shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
Eichel
MacKinnon
Home
46.1% (388)
49.4% (553)
Away
44.4% (405)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Eichel
MacKinnon
P1
46.8%
45.3%
P2
43.4%
42.7%
P3
45.4%
45.1%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |