Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 92.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 56.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Eichel
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (317)
55.4% (771)
-9.0%
Power Play
59.6% (57)
57.1% (7)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.5% (165)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
46.2% (169)
58.2% (462)
Away
50.5% (210)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
39.8%
55.6%
P2
49.6%
50.5%
P3
56.2%
53.9%
OT
28.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:50 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |