Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Dowd 48.3% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 90.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eichel
Dowd
Last 6: Eichel 2-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Eichel
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
49.2% (778)
-2.8%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
58.3% (12)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
44.0% (234)
-1.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
44.0% (457)
46.3% (492)
Away
47.0% (451)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
45.1%
49.1%
P2
46.5%
48.2%
P3
45.3%
46.9%
OT
28.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
41.9%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |