Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 87.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 51.7%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Eichel
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
51.7% (644)
-4.0%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
0.0% (2)
+55.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
41.6% (221)
+3.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
47.7% (509)
48.6% (451)
Away
48.1% (499)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
49.5%
49.1%
P2
48.5%
47.3%
P3
46.8%
51.4%
OT
37.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |