Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 88.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Eichel
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Eichel
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
55.2% (625)
-9.7%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
57.1% (7)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
38.2% (220)
-9.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
46.1% (388)
53.7% (445)
Away
44.4% (405)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
46.8%
48.8%
P2
43.4%
49.3%
P3
45.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |