Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 22 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 37-34 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 86.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Eichel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
34
(71 meetings)
37
34
Eichel
Dowd
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
19
3
Eichel
Dowd
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
16
Eichel
Dowd
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
13
15
Eichel
Dowd
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
52.4% (6,009)
-7.7%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
56.1% (164)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
44.1% (1,635)
-5.8%
On even strength, Dowd has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Home / Away
Eichel
Dowd
Home
45.7% (4,899)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Eichel
Dowd
P1
45.4%
51.7%
P2
45.8%
50.4%
P3
44.2%
50.3%
OT
44.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |