Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Sturm 55.2% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 78.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 57.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 66.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Eichel
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Eichel
Sturm
Last 6: Eichel 1-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Eichel
Sturm
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Eichel
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
56.1% (716)
-10.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
67.7% (31)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
51.1% (133)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Eichel
Sturm
Home
46.1% (388)
55.6% (412)
Away
44.4% (405)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Eichel
Sturm
P1
46.8%
59.6%
P2
43.4%
52.0%
P3
45.4%
55.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |