Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Sturm 53.6% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 67.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 87.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 64.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Eichel
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Eichel
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
54.6% (271)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
54.4% (90)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Eichel shoots right. Sturm is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Eichel
Sturm
Home
47.7% (509)
53.0% (168)
Away
48.1% (499)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Eichel
Sturm
P1
49.5%
58.2%
P2
48.5%
53.2%
P3
46.8%
52.3%
OT
37.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |