Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 73.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 71.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Eichel
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Eichel
Sturm
Last 9: Eichel 2-7 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eichel
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
4
Eichel
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
2
Eichel
Sturm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
60.6% (708)
-14.2%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
61.1% (18)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
56.4% (101)
-14.2%
On power play, Sturm has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Eichel
Sturm
Home
44.0% (457)
61.6% (451)
Away
47.0% (451)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Eichel
Sturm
P1
45.1%
55.9%
P2
46.5%
58.9%
P3
45.3%
64.6%
OT
28.6%
70.6%
Final 5 min
41.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |