Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Sturm 56.1% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 91.4%
Defensive zone
Eichel 69.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 87.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 84.7%
84.7%
15.3%
Eichel
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Eichel
Sturm
Last 10: Eichel 2-8 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
5
Eichel
Sturm
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
4
Eichel
Sturm
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
4
Eichel
Sturm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
57.1% (2,719)
-12.4%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
61.3% (62)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
51.0% (498)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Sturm is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Eichel
Sturm
Home
45.7% (4,899)
57.1% (1,614)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
55.4% (1,665)
By Period
Eichel
Sturm
P1
45.4%
56.5%
P2
45.8%
54.9%
P3
44.2%
57.4%
OT
44.2%
60.6%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |