Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Sturm 57.1% (-13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 68.0%
Defensive zone
Sturm 62.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Eichel
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eichel
Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Eichel
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
62.1% (356)
-16.2%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
75.0% (4)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
38.7% (62)
+1.0%
On power play, Sturm has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Sturm is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Eichel
Sturm
Home
46.5% (606)
61.8% (191)
Away
44.8% (648)
56.3% (231)
By Period
Eichel
Sturm
P1
47.2%
58.0%
P2
46.9%
57.9%
P3
42.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
41.4%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |