Scouting Report
Adrian Kempe holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Hughes 40.3% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Kempe 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 51.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.9%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Kempe
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
35.1% (151)
+4.4%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
16.7% (6)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
33.3% (6)
+0.0%
On power play, Kempe has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Kempe is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Kempe shoots left. Hughes is 30.2% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Kempe
Hughes
Home
38.9% (54)
32.4% (74)
Away
37.7% (61)
36.0% (89)
By Period
Kempe
Hughes
P1
40.5%
38.8%
P2
38.5%
27.6%
P3
33.3%
36.8%
Final 5 min
40.9%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
34.4%