Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 49.2% vs Hughes 37.4% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Mittelstadt leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 61.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 68.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Mittelstadt
Hughes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
3
Mittelstadt
Hughes
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (345)
35.7% (569)
+10.4%
Power Play
60.5% (86)
33.3% (36)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
16.7% (6)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Mittelstadt is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Hughes
Home
47.3% (224)
37.8% (333)
Away
50.7% (217)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Hughes
P1
51.8%
38.8%
P2
51.0%
28.3%
P3
44.9%
38.6%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
49.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |