Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Hughes 38.0% (+19.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 90.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 94.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 93.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
McDavid
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
McDavid
Hughes
Last 5: McDavid 5-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
34.5% (342)
+19.8%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
42.9% (7)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
25.0% (4)
+8.3%
On even strength, McDavid has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
McDavid
Hughes
Home
53.6% (507)
32.6% (187)
Away
53.8% (539)
36.7% (166)
By Period
McDavid
Hughes
P1
52.6%
33.9%
P2
54.1%
34.2%
P3
54.9%
36.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
29.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |