Scouting Report
Dominic Toninato holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toninato on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 47.8% vs Hughes 38.6% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 61.8%
Defensive zone
Toninato 93.9%
Neutral zone
Toninato 88.5%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Toninato
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Toninato
Hughes
Last 5: Toninato 5-0 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toninato
4
0
Toninato
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (251)
35.6% (362)
+11.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
38.5% (91)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
33.3% (9)
+3.1%
On even strength, Toninato has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Toninato is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Toninato shoots left. Hughes is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Toninato
Hughes
Home
45.1% (122)
37.6% (255)
Away
48.7% (150)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Toninato
Hughes
P1
40.5%
28.5%
P2
50.0%
39.2%
P3
50.0%
40.8%
Final 5 min
43.1%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.1%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 01:25 | Offensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dominic Toninato |