Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Evans 51.7% (-16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 80.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 85.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 55.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Hughes
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Hughes
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
54.5% (483)
-19.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.3% (12)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.9% (155)
-10.6%
On even strength, Evans has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Hughes
Evans
Home
37.4% (235)
49.4% (336)
Away
33.2% (229)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Hughes
Evans
P1
37.1%
55.8%
P2
33.7%
51.7%
P3
34.8%
48.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |