Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Evans 52.0% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 93.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 69.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 73.0%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Hughes
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Hughes
Evans
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
54.4% (807)
-18.8%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
55.0% (20)
-5.0%
On even strength, Evans has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Hughes
Evans
Home
38.4% (198)
53.7% (581)
Away
35.3% (119)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Hughes
Evans
P1
44.3%
54.6%
P2
34.2%
50.0%
P3
34.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
40.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |