Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Evans 52.2% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 96.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 88.8%
Neutral zone
Hughes 89.5%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Hughes
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Hughes
Evans
Last 10: Hughes 2-8 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
5
Hughes
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
5
Hughes
Evans
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
53.8% (3,695)
-17.8%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
60.0% (70)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
47.1% (1,222)
-16.1%
On power play, Evans has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Hughes
Evans
Home
36.8% (1,670)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Hughes
Evans
P1
36.9%
54.0%
P2
33.6%
50.9%
P3
38.1%
52.0%
OT
37.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
34.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jake Evans |