Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Evans 55.4% (-20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 83.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 84.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 60.1%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Hughes
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Hughes
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
56.2% (477)
-19.4%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
70.0% (10)
-55.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
55.4% (204)
-22.1%
On power play, Evans has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Evans is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Hughes
Evans
Home
35.1% (148)
55.3% (374)
Away
37.4% (131)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Hughes
Evans
P1
43.0%
58.5%
P2
28.7%
55.7%
P3
35.2%
53.9%
Final 5 min
28.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |