Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Pageau 55.9% (-21.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 72.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 68.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 61.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Hughes
Pageau
Last 10: Hughes 5-5 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
4
1
Hughes
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
10
Hughes
Pageau
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
5
Hughes
Pageau
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
58.3% (674)
-22.6%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
57.1% (77)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
42.7% (82)
-26.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
37.8% (333)
57.4% (439)
Away
32.4% (278)
55.8% (394)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
38.8%
54.0%
P2
28.3%
55.0%
P3
38.6%
60.8%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
31.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 04:44 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |