Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Pageau 56.7% (-21.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 58.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 78.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hughes
Pageau
Last 5: Hughes 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
0
Hughes
Pageau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Hughes
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
58.8% (889)
-23.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.2% (182)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
48.6% (185)
-15.3%
On even strength, Pageau has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
37.4% (235)
59.0% (595)
Away
33.2% (229)
55.7% (661)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
37.1%
58.9%
P2
33.7%
57.9%
P3
34.8%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
32.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |