Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 27 meetings). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Pageau 54.8% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 38-25 in 63 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.6%
Defensive zone
Hughes 92.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 92.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 92.9%
92.9%
7.1%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
38
(63 meetings)
25
38
Hughes
Pageau
Last 10: Hughes 2-8 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
11
3
Hughes
Pageau
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
20
Hughes
Pageau
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
7
15
Hughes
Pageau
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
55.7% (9,486)
-19.7%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
57.0% (1,002)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
49.6% (2,069)
-18.6%
On even strength, Pageau has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
36.8% (1,670)
56.3% (6,214)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
53.4% (6,343)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
36.9%
54.6%
P2
33.6%
56.3%
P3
38.1%
53.5%
OT
37.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
34.2%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:37 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |