Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +22.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Pageau 58.7% (-22.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 84.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 75.2%
Neutral zone
Hughes 87.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Hughes
Pageau
Last 10: Hughes 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
3
1
Hughes
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Hughes
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
3
Hughes
Pageau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
59.6% (711)
-21.7%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
64.0% (114)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
56.4% (163)
-20.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
36.6% (314)
59.3% (506)
Away
38.5% (353)
60.0% (482)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
36.4%
56.8%
P2
35.6%
64.4%
P3
41.8%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
36.4%
61.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:52 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |