Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Pageau 55.0% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 86.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 81.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.0%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hughes
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Hughes
Pageau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hughes
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
57.1% (905)
-21.5%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
55.2% (116)
-5.2%
On even strength, Pageau has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
38.4% (198)
57.0% (618)
Away
35.3% (119)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
44.3%
54.4%
P2
34.2%
61.0%
P3
34.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |