Jack Hughes vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +23.5% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.8% vs Pageau 58.8% (-23.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 79.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 75.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Hughes
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hughes
Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Hughes
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (266)
59.1% (687)
-22.3%
Power Play
14.3% (7)
69.4% (36)
-55.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
60.1% (213)
-26.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Hughes is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Hughes shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Hughes
Pageau
Home
35.1% (148)
57.8% (377)
Away
37.4% (131)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Hughes
Pageau
P1
43.0%
54.1%
P2
28.7%
62.1%
P3
35.2%
61.8%
Final 5 min
28.6%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |