Scouting Report
Kasperi Kapanen holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Kapanen 49.1% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 59.1%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 55.5%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 50.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Hughes
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
36.4% (11)
-1.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (1)
-57.1%
On power play, Kapanen has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hughes is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Hughes shoots left. Kapanen is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kapanen
Home
32.6% (187)
37.5% (8)
Away
36.7% (166)
50.0% (4)
By Period
Hughes
Kapanen
P1
33.9%
60.0%
P2
34.2%
25.0%
P3
36.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
29.7%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.7%