Scouting Report
Kasperi Kapanen holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.9% vs Kapanen 44.7% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 73.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 54.6%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Hughes
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
34.9% (444)
39.1% (69)
-4.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
37.5% (8)
-4.2%
On power play, Hughes has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Hughes shoots left. Kapanen is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kapanen
Home
37.4% (235)
47.4% (38)
Away
33.2% (229)
29.3% (41)
By Period
Hughes
Kapanen
P1
37.1%
38.7%
P2
33.7%
31.0%
P3
34.8%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
38.0%