Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (36.1% vs 36.8%). Hughes wins 38.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 36.6% vs Kapanen 40.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 64.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Hughes
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hughes
Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
0
Hughes
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (2,887)
37.1% (213)
-1.1%
Power Play
38.8% (224)
50.0% (4)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
34.1% (41)
-3.1%
On power play, Kapanen has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hughes is 38.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,222).
Hughes shoots left. Kapanen is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kapanen
Home
36.8% (1,670)
39.7% (116)
Away
35.4% (1,483)
34.5% (142)
By Period
Hughes
Kapanen
P1
36.9%
35.6%
P2
33.6%
34.1%
P3
38.1%
40.7%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |