Scouting Report
Kasperi Kapanen holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 39.2% vs Kapanen 45.9% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 64.4%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 55.7%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Hughes
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (623)
40.2% (82)
-2.3%
Power Play
33.3% (33)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
45.5% (11)
-9.1%
On power play, Kapanen has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hughes is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Hughes shoots left. Kapanen is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kapanen
Home
36.6% (314)
35.1% (37)
Away
38.5% (353)
45.6% (57)
By Period
Hughes
Kapanen
P1
36.4%
37.0%
P2
35.6%
43.3%
P3
41.8%
43.2%
Final 5 min
36.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
41.5%