Scouting Report
Jack Hughes holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 40.3% vs Kapanen 45.7% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 67.1%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 59.3%
Result
Kasperi Kapanen favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Hughes
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
35.6% (281)
34.4% (32)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Hughes shoots left. Kapanen is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (26).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kapanen
Home
38.4% (198)
33.3% (21)
Away
35.3% (119)
35.3% (17)
By Period
Hughes
Kapanen
P1
44.3%
29.4%
P2
34.2%
45.5%
P3
34.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%
Kapanen
46.0%▲
39.0%
34.2%