Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Hayes 43.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 67.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hughes 51.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hughes
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hughes
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Hughes
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
42.7% (478)
-8.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
42.9% (98)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
45.2% (31)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Hughes
Hayes
Home
32.6% (187)
43.5% (232)
Away
36.7% (166)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Hughes
Hayes
P1
33.9%
40.1%
P2
34.2%
44.8%
P3
36.5%
42.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
29.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2021 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |